August 21, 2025
Economic slowdowns can feel unsettling. You see headlines about markets pulling back, unemployment creeping higher, and consumer confidence falling. If you’re retired or preparing for retirement, the thought of protecting your nest egg might weigh heavily. And if you’re a high-net-worth investor, you may be searching for strategies that don’t just preserve wealth but position you for growth when the economy eventually rebounds.
The reality is that slowdowns aren’t the end of opportunity. They’re simply different seasons in the economic cycle. Your challenge isn’t to avoid them but to recognize where the potential lies. From reliable dividend stocks to farmland, private credit, and Florida-specific opportunities, there are strategies worth exploring.
That perspective was echoed by Michael Landsberg, CIO of Landsberg Bennett Private Wealth Management, during his April 2025 CNBC appearance. He pointed out that while tariffs dominate the headlines, the underlying economy is slowing. GDP growth, in his view, may cool from roughly two and a half percent to just above zero. Earnings could split sharply between strong and weak names, depending on how companies navigate softer consumer confidence.
Landsberg also stressed caution on mega-cap stocks. A handful of companies have been responsible for an outsized share of market gains, which he sees as unsustainable. His team trimmed positions in January, preferring a broader balance across sectors. He remains cautious on small-caps as well, noting their underperformance since 2021 and questioning whether the risk is worth the return right now.
Where does he see opportunity? Landsberg highlighted utilities, insurance, and mid-cap companies tied to long-term demand. These sectors represent businesses with durable cash flow that are less tied to the ups and downs of consumer sentiment, offering investors a steadier path during periods of slower economic growth.
He also mentioned global diversification. While some investors dismiss Europe, he noted that many European companies trade at lower multiples with less volatility than U.S. peers. As Europe emerges from recession, the combination of cheaper valuations and global reach makes select names worth watching.
That mix of caution and opportunity is a reminder that even when the U.S. economy slows, there are places to put capital to work. The key is being selective, balancing income stability with growth potential, and keeping an eye on opportunities both at home and abroad.
In this article, we’ll break down where you should be looking for opportunity during an economic slowdown. From defensive equities and fixed income to private credit, real assets, and state-specific strategies, you’ll see how different asset classes can help protect your wealth while positioning you for growth when conditions improve.
The latest outlook (as of June 2025) sees U.S. growth slowing through 2025. In Deloitte’s baseline scenario, tighter tariffs give way to easing trade tensions, and the Fed begins a modest easing phase—leading to a gradual rebound in growth, business investment, and inflation cooling over time. But Deloitte also cautions: if tariffs rise significantly, the economy could edge into a technical recession by the end of 2025—even if the full-year GDP stays slightly positive.
In short, the picture is mixed: momentum may persist in the short term, but top-down risks—from tariffs to labor softness—are growing. It’s a reminder that flexibility and forward-looking positioning matter.
That forecast matters because it sets the backdrop for every opportunity we’re about to discuss. If growth is slowing or stalling, your choices need to shift from “fastest-growing” to “steady income,” “inflation protection,” or “real-asset diversification.”
The forecast isn’t just background color—it influences where income and growth can still be found if the economic tide recedes.
Economic slowdowns force you to think differently about how your money works for you. Growth-driven strategies that shine in strong markets don’t always hold up when consumer spending cools, interest rates shift, or volatility rises. That doesn’t mean you should step aside. It means you need to adjust where you focus.
Here are 10 specific areas where you can find opportunity when growth slows:
Each one offers a different way to help strengthen your portfolio, protect income, and position yourself for the rebound that follows every slowdown.
Let’s take a closer look at each of them.
Defensive equity plays are stocks that hold their ground during weaker economic cycles. Instead of relying on rapid growth, they provide stability through consistent earnings, dividends, and products or services that people keep buying no matter what the economy is doing.
Think of them as the “core” in your equity allocation. They don’t rely on booming consumer spending. Instead, they thrive on predictable demand for essentials such as electricity, healthcare, and household goods.
For retirees, this means you can continue drawing income from your portfolio without needing to sell shares at depressed prices. For high-net-worth investors, it’s about steady exposure that helps offset risk in more aggressive strategies.
Imagine you hold two companies:
When the economy slows, Company A’s bookings may fall sharply as families cut discretionary spending. Company B, however, keeps billing households and hospitals every month, producing steady revenue. That consistency is what makes Company B a defensive equity play.
Key takeaway: Defensive equity plays don’t remove all risk, but they focus your portfolio on businesses that can generate reliable income and maintain stability when the economy slows.
Bonds make a comeback every time growth slows. But the real question is: which bonds?
Treasuries and TIPS
Municipal Bonds
Short-Duration Bonds
Corporate Bonds
Agency Bonds
Imagine you hold two bonds:
If rates rise unexpectedly, Bond A’s price may drop significantly because of its longer maturity. Bond B, on the other hand, matures quickly, allowing you to reinvest at higher rates. That shorter duration provides flexibility in uncertain conditions.
When you focus on fixed income, the key is matching maturities and structures to your spending needs. If you’re looking for stability during uncertain times, bonds can play the role of steady income generator while freeing up other parts of your portfolio for growth.
Key takeaway: Fixed income opportunities during slowdowns aren’t about grabbing the highest yield. They’re about structuring maturities, diversifying credit quality, and using tools like munis and TIPS to secure steady income while protecting against inflation and volatility.
When banks pull back on lending, private markets often step in. That’s where private credit comes in as an attractive option for high-net-worth investors.
Private credit funds lend directly to businesses, often at higher rates than you’d find in public markets. During a slowdown, credit spreads tend to widen, which means you can capture more yield. Many of these structures include floating-rate loans, so if interest rates shift, the income adjusts upward.
Direct Lending: Private funds provide loans directly to companies, particularly middle-market borrowers that may not have access to traditional financing. These loans are often senior secured, meaning they take priority in repayment.
Mezzanine Financing: A hybrid between debt and equity, mezzanine financing sits below senior loans but above equity in the capital structure. It usually carries higher interest rates and may include equity features such as warrants.
Specialty Finance: Covers niche activities such as equipment leasing, litigation finance, and lending backed by intellectual property. These segments can provide stable returns tied to specific assets or industries.
Structured Credit: This strategy involves pooling income-producing loans, mortgages, or receivables and issuing securities backed by those pools. It allows investors to gain exposure to credit markets while tailoring risk across different tranches.
Trade Finance: Provides short-term financing for domestic and international trade. This can include letters of credit or supply chain financing, helping businesses manage cash flow across borders and industries.
Private Debt: A broad category that includes senior loans, subordinated debt, and other tailored debt instruments. Terms can be customized to meet both borrower and investor needs, covering everything from real estate to consumer lending.
Venture Debt: Targeted at startups and high-growth companies, venture debt supplements equity financing. These loans are often secured by warrants or options, giving lenders a potential equity upside along with interest income.
Key takeaway: Alternative credit strategies expand your toolkit beyond stocks and bonds, offering higher yield potential and diversification. But they come with complexity and illiquidity, making due diligence critical. For investors in retirement or high-net-worth households, carefully selecting strategies that match risk tolerance and income needs can help stabilize portfolios during economic slowdowns.
Real assets are investments backed by physical, tangible resources such as farmland, infrastructure, or timberland. Unlike equities that rely heavily on market sentiment, real assets are tied to underlying use and demand. This makes them particularly appealing during slowdowns, when income stability and inflation protection matter more than rapid growth.
Farmland continues to stand out because food demand does not fall when the economy slows. Agricultural land benefits from predictable consumption and limited supply. Historically, farmland values and lease income rise alongside inflation, helping investors preserve purchasing power.
In central Florida, farmland has delivered steady cash flows through crop production and leasing arrangements. With the state’s agricultural base covering citrus, vegetables, and livestock, farmland can provide resilience and diversification within a broader portfolio.
The U.S. government has allocated billions toward upgrading roads, bridges, ports, and broadband. Florida, with its fast-growing population and expanding retirement communities, is positioned as a direct beneficiary of these projects. By investing in infrastructure funds, you can participate in long-term development while earning income from tolls, leases, or service fees.
Timberland offers two income streams: the sale of timber and land appreciation over time. Because timber harvesting schedules can be adjusted, it provides flexibility in managing cash flows. Agricultural partnerships, meanwhile, pool investor capital into farming operations or food production businesses, producing income streams that tend to be less correlated with stock market swings.
Key takeaway: Real assets such as farmland, infrastructure, and timberland offer resilience, steady income, and inflation protection during economic slowdowns. They provide investors with tangible value and diversification at a time when traditional equity markets can feel unpredictable.
You may hear mixed opinions about real estate in a slowdown. Rising interest rates can make borrowing harder, but not all sectors are equally affected.
REIT subsectors worth watching include:
For more sophisticated investors, private real estate funds offer exposure without the day-to-day volatility of public REITs. These funds may focus on sectors like multifamily housing or medical offices, which have historically shown stability.
Key takeaway: Real estate during a slowdown is about being selective. Healthcare, logistics, and storage often hold up well, and Florida’s demographic tailwinds add another layer of support. By balancing public REITs with private real estate exposure, you can capture income stability while positioning for future growth.
When equity markets stumble and uncertainty builds, commodities often play the role of portfolio stabilizer. Gold and silver are classic safe havens. They don’t generate dividends, but they’ve preserved value across centuries of downturns. Their strength lies in the fact that they are not tied to the earnings cycle of companies.
Energy commodities, such as oil and natural gas, bring a different kind of exposure. They tend to be more volatile, yet they serve as effective hedges when inflation pressures rise. Agricultural commodities also deserve attention. Global supply chain challenges and steady food demand often keep prices supported even in recessions.
For investors who don’t want the responsibility of managing physical metals or commodity storage, ETFs and mutual funds provide liquid access to gold, silver, oil, and agriculture baskets.
During his July 2025 CNBC World Street Signs appearance, Michael Landsberg emphasized the importance of owning inflation-sensitive assets. “Our belief is inflation hasn’t gone any lower in a year and could even accelerate slightly,” he said. “That’s why you want to own things like commodities. We’ve seen oil resurge, we’ve liked copper, and gold as well.”
He explained that commodities give investors exposure to pricing power when other sectors may struggle. By participating in markets where supply and demand imbalances drive prices, you can hedge against the drag of slower GDP growth or weaker consumer confidence.
When public markets are volatile, private markets can offer different sources of return. These investments are less tied to daily trading and can provide access to strategies designed to perform in varying economic conditions. They often require longer commitments and higher entry points, but for investors with capacity, they can open doors beyond traditional equities and bonds.
Private Equity Secondaries: During downturns, some investors sell their private equity holdings at discounts to gain liquidity. This creates opportunities for buyers to access funds backed by established companies at more favorable pricing.
Venture Capital: While early-stage investing carries risk, certain sectors such as healthcare technology and efficiency-driven services continue to see growth even in slowdowns. Venture capital can deliver long-term exposure to companies positioned to solve structural problems.
Hedge Funds: Hedge funds often employ strategies that thrive in volatility. Market-neutral funds seek to capture relative value rather than broad market growth, while distressed debt funds purchase the obligations of struggling companies and profit when conditions stabilize.
Insurance-Linked Securities: These securities are tied to risks such as natural disasters rather than equity markets. Because their performance is based on insurance outcomes, they provide low correlation to traditional asset classes, which can strengthen diversification.
Private Real Estate and Infrastructure Funds: Beyond public REITs, private vehicles allow investors to target sectors such as multifamily housing, healthcare facilities, or toll infrastructure. They are less liquid but can deliver consistent income over long periods.
Key Takeaway: Private markets broaden your investment toolkit when the economy slows. They are not about chasing rapid gains, but about adding strategies with different return drivers, whether through private equity, venture capital, hedge funds, or insurance-linked securities. For investors with higher capacity and patience, these assets can strengthen portfolio resilience while providing exposure that public markets cannot.
Cash plays a different role when the economy slows. It isn’t about chasing growth, it’s about creating stability and flexibility. Having accessible funds means you can handle daily expenses, meet unexpected needs, and position yourself to invest when opportunities appear. The real challenge is holding the right amount — enough to protect yourself but not so much that your portfolio sits idle.
High-Yield Savings Accounts: These accounts preserve capital while paying more interest than traditional savings. They are useful for short-term needs or an emergency reserve.
Money Market Funds: Money markets pool short-term securities like Treasury bills and commercial paper. They are designed to provide liquidity and modest yield, making them useful as a holding place for cash you might need within months.
Certificates of Deposit (CDs): CDs allow you to lock in a fixed interest rate for a set term. While they reduce flexibility, they can provide higher yields compared to a savings account. A CD ladder — staggering maturities over time — can give you both yield and access to cash at regular intervals.
Treasury Bills: Short-term government securities that can be bought directly from the U.S. Treasury. They are low risk and can be timed to mature when you expect to need cash.
Example
Consider two retirees with $1 million in investments:
Key takeaway: Cash management is not about sitting on the sidelines. It is about using savings accounts, CDs, money markets, and Treasury bills to preserve liquidity while keeping enough invested to benefit from recovery.
Markets are not driven only by earnings reports or economic forecasts. They are also shaped by fear, optimism, and herd behavior. During slowdowns, investors often react emotionally instead of rationally. Selling in panic or holding too much cash feels safe in the moment, but those decisions can harm long-term results.
Panic Selling: Sharp drops in account values create anxiety, pushing investors to sell at the worst time. Once out of the market, many struggle to get back in, often missing the early stages of recovery.
Overconcentration in Cash: Holding a large portion of wealth in cash may feel comfortable, especially for retirees, but it leaves portfolios exposed to inflation. Over time, purchasing power erodes.
Recency Bias: Investors often assume that what just happened will continue. A recent downturn makes some believe that markets will keep falling indefinitely, even though cycles eventually turn.
Herd Mentality: When markets fall, people take cues from peers or headlines, selling simply because others are selling. This amplifies volatility and reinforces poor timing decisions.
Key takeaway: Recognizing your own emotional patterns is as important as picking stocks or bonds. If you stay disciplined with strategies like dollar-cost averaging and rebalancing, you give yourself a better chance to capture the recovery that follows every slowdown.
How do you tie all of this together? By thinking in terms of balance.
The challenge during an economic slowdown is not choosing one asset class over another, but weaving different pieces together into a balanced plan. A barbell approach is one way to do this. On one side, you hold ultra-safe fixed income such as Treasuries, T-bills, or high-quality short-term bonds. On the other side, you place capital into higher-return opportunities like equities, private credit, or real assets. This blend creates stability through predictable income while leaving room for growth when markets recover.
Slowdowns are also a time to consider tactical shifts within your allocation. That might mean reducing exposure to consumer discretionary names that depend heavily on spending strength and increasing allocations to healthcare, utilities, or dividend-paying stocks. On the fixed income side, shifting toward shorter-duration bonds can help reduce rate sensitivity while keeping yield potential.
Balance also comes from mixing public and private investments. Public equities and bonds provide liquidity, while private credit, real assets, and private equity secondaries offer diversification and long-term exposure. By blending liquid and less liquid strategies, you avoid overconcentration in any single part of the market.
Risk isn’t only about volatility. It includes liquidity risk, inflation risk, and the risk of failing to meet long-term income needs. Managing these requires intentional allocation. Keeping enough in cash equivalents covers near-term expenses, while income-producing bonds and equities handle medium-term needs. Growth-oriented alternatives then cover the long-term horizon.
Key takeaway: Portfolio integration during an economic slowdown is about structure. By combining safety, income, and growth across both public and private markets, you protect yourself from short-term shocks while keeping your portfolio positioned for long-term opportunity.
Slowdowns may feel uncomfortable, but they’re not just obstacles. They’re times when discipline and strategy matter most.
If you’re willing to look beyond the headlines, you’ll find opportunities in dividend stocks, bonds, real assets, private credit, farmland, commodities, and alternatives. Some are defensive, some are forward-looking, but together they help you protect and grow wealth.
Think of a slowdown as a reminder: opportunity doesn’t disappear, it shifts. For you, the path forward is to stay engaged, stay diversified, and stay open to new strategies. And if you want to tailor these opportunities to your specific goals, working with a trusted advisor can help align your portfolio to the realities of today’s economy.
Landsberg Bennett is a group comprised of investment professionals registered with Hightower Advisors, LLC, an SEC registered investment adviser. Some investment professionals may also be registered with Hightower Securities, LLC (member FINRA and SIPC). Advisory services are offered through Hightower Advisors, LLC. Securities are offered through Hightower Securities, LLC.
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